FRIDAY FUNDAY; CONSPIRACY THEORIES.


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Random blog day boo yah. As you should know Fridays is random blog day were we talk anything and everything and pretty much run with it. Today's blog is on Conspiracy theories.

Conspiracy Theories is a topic of discussion that has been talked about over the past century (earliest mentions in journals around April 1870 and earliest usage around 1909 in a “The American Historical Review” article) becoming especially popular over the past two decades in particular (The Kennedy assassination and 9/11 coming to mind). The Oxford dictionary defines Conspiracy Theories as “The Theory that an event or phenomenon occurs as a result of a conspiracy between interested parties; spec. a belief that some covert but influential agency(typically political in motivation and oppressive in intent) is responsible for an unexplained event”.

WHAT IS A CONSPIRAY THEORY?.

A Conspiracy Theory is an explanation of an event or situation that invokes a conspiracy by sinister and powerful actors, often political in motivation, when other explanations are more probable. The term has a pejorative connotation, implying that the appeal to a conspiracy is based on prejudice or insufficient evidence. Conspiracy theories resist falsification and are reinforced by circular reasoning: both evidence against the conspiracy and an absence of evidence for it are re-interpreted as evidence of its truth. Whereby the conspiracy becomes a matter of faith rather than something that can be proved or disproved.
  • Conspiracy theory wiki

A crazy notion right?, Research does suggest that conspiracist ideation (belief in conspiracy theories) can be psychologically harmful and pathological especially if it's highly correlated with psychological projection and paranoia. This can be predicted by the degree of Machiavellianism of a person. Conspiracy theories have definitely become mainstream having once been limited to fringe audiences thanks to mass media emerging as a culture phenomenon of the late 20th and early 21st centuries.

ARE THERE ANY TYPES OF CONSPIRACY THEORIES?

If you'd have asked me as a kid are there types of Conspiracy Theories I would have said no there's not but researching Conspiracy Theories as an adult I would have to say yes and here are some possibilities:

WALKERS FIVE KINDS
Jesse walker (2013, University of Michigan alumnus and books editor of Reason magazine) has identified five kinds of conspiracy theories:

  • The Enemy Outside” refers to theories based on figures alleged to be scheming against a community from without
  • The Enemy Within” finds the conspirators lurking inside the nation, indistinguishable from ordinary citizens.
  • The Enemy Above” involves powerful people manipulating events for their own gain.
  • The Enemy Below” features the lower classes working to overturn the social order
  • The Benevolent Conspiracies” are angelic forces that work behind the scenes to improve the world and help people.

BARKUMS THREE TYPES:
Michael Barkun (Professor of Political science at Maxwell school of Syracuse university) has identified three classifications of conspiracy theory:

- EVENT CONSOIRACY THEORIES. This refers to limited and well-defined events. Examples may include such conspiracies theories as those concerning the Kennedy assassination, 9/11 and the spread of aids.
  • SYSTEMATIC CONSPIRACY THEORIES. The conspiracy is believed to have broad goals, usually conceived as securing control of a country, a region or even the entire world. The goals are sweeping whilst the conspiratorial machinery is generally simple: a single, evil organisation implements a plan to infiltrate and subvert existing institutions. This is a common scenario in conspiracy theories that focus on the alleged machinations of Jews, Freemasons, Communism or the catholic church.
  • SUPERCONSPIRACY THEORIES. For Barkun, such theories link multiple alleged conspiracies together hierarchically. At the summit is a distant but all powerful evil force. His cited examples are the ideas of David Icke and Milton William Cooper.

ROTHBARD; SHALLOW VS. DEEP:
Murray Rothbard (Historian and political theorist died Jan 7th 1995) argues in favour of a model that contrasts “deep” conspiracy theories to “shallow” ones. According to Rothbard, a 'shallow' theorist observes an event and asks CUI BONO? (“Who benefits?”), jumping to the conclusion that a posited beneficiary is responsible for covertly influencing events. On the other hand, the “deep” conspiracy theorist begins with a hunch and then seeks out evidence. Rothbard describes this latter activity as a matter of confirming with certain facts one's initial paranoia.
- Conspiracy Theory Wiki

I can definitely agree that many conspiracy theories do land in several different types. Definitely makes it easier to categorize them in the long term.

IS THERE EVIDENCE VS. CONSPIRACY THEORIES?

Belief in Conspiracy theories is generally based not on evidence, but in the faith of the believer. Noam Chomsky contracts conspiracy theory to institutional analysis which focuses mostly on the public, long-term behaviour of publicly known institutions, as recorded in, for example, scholarly documents or mainstream media reports. Conspiracy theory conversely posits the existence of secretive coalitions of individuals and speculates on their alleged activities.

Clare Birchall at King's College London describes conspiracy theory as a “form of popular knowledge or interpretation”. The use of the word 'knowledge' here suggests ways in which conspiracy theory may be considered in relation to legitimate modes of knowing. The relationship between and legitimate and illegitimate knowledge, Birchall claims, is closer than common dismissals of conspiracy theory contend.

Theories involving multiple conspirators that are proven to be correct, such as the Watergate scandal, are usually referred to as “Investigative journalism” or “historical analysis” rather than conspiracy theory. By contrast, the term “Watergate conspiracy theory” is used to refer to a variety of hypotheses in which those convicted in the conspiracy were in fact the victims of a deeper conspiracy.
- Conspiracy Theory wiki

I have to admit whilst Conspiracy Theories are attractive topics to talk about especially around public events whose causes are in suspect (9/11, presidential scandals, Watergate ETC), any and all evidence for and against the theory can be interpreted way to many different ways, with different theorists unable to agree on a common timeline.

THE ATTRACTION OF CONSPIRACY THEORIES.

The political scientist Michael Barkun, discussing the usage of “Conspiracy Theory” in contemporary American culture, holds that this term is used for a belief that explains an event as the result of a secret plot by exceptionally powerful and cunning conspirators to achieve a malevolent end. According to Barkun, the appeal of conspiracism is threefold:

1: First Conspiracy theories claim to explain what institutional analysis cannot. They appear to make sense out of a world that is otherwise confusing.
2: They do so in an appealingly simple way, by dividing the world sharply between the forces of light and the forces of darkness. They trace all evil back to a single source, the conspirators and their agents.
3: Conspiracy Theories are often presented as special, secret knowledge unknown or unappreciated by others. For conspiracy theorists the masses are a brainwashed herd, while the conspiracy theorists in the know congratulate themselves on penetrating the plotters' deceptions.
This third point is supported by Research of Roland Imhoff Professor in social psychology at the Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz the research suggests that the smaller the minority believing in a specific theory, the more attractive it is to conspiracy theorists.
Humanistic psychologists argue that even if a posited cabal behind an alleged conspiracy is almost always perceived as hostile, there often remains an element of reassurance for theorists. This is because it is a consolation to imagine that difficulties in human affairs for theorists. This is because it is a consolation to imagine that difficulties in human affairs are created by humans, and remain within human control. If a cabal can be implicated, there may be a hope of breaking its power or of joining it. Belief in the power of a cabal is an implicit assertion of human dignity—an unconscious affirmation that man is responsible for his own destiny.
People formulate conspiracy theories to explain, for examples, power relations in social groups and the perceived existence of evil forces. Proposed psychological origins of conspiracy theorising include projection; the personal need to explain “a significant event (with) a significant cause,” and the product of various kinds and stages of thought disorder, such as paranoid disposition, ranging in insecurity of encountering random, unpredictable or otherwise inexplicable events.

According to Berlet and Lyons, “conspiracism is a popular narrative form of scapegoating that frames demonized enemies as part of a vast insidious plot against the common good, while it valorizes the scapegoater as a hero for sounding the alarm”.
  • Conspiracy Theory Wiki
Attraction to Conspiracy theories is very strong and very commonplace nowadays even if not everyone believes them. I know some people personally who believe a conspiracy theory or two even though they are highly intelligent and rational people.

ARE THERE ANY FAMOUS CONSPIRACIES?

There are many well known and publicly accessed Conspiracy theories from across the world and here are some of them:
ILLUMINATI
Conspiracy theories concerning the Illuminati, a short-lived 18th-century Enlightenment-era secret society, appear to have originated in the 19th century, when some conservatives in Europe came to believe that the group had been responsible for the French Revolution of 1789-1799. Hoaxes about the Illuminati were later spread in the 1960's by a group of American practical jokers known as the Discordians, who, for example wrote a series of fake letters about the Illuminati to Playboy.

DENVOR AIRPORT
Some Theorists believe that Denver International Airport stands above an underground city which serves as a headquarters of the New World Order. Theorists cite the airport's unusually large size, its distance from Denver city centre, Masonic and alleged Satanic Symbols, as well as a set of murals which include depictions of war and death.

CHEMTAILS
Also known as SLAP (Secret Large-scale Atmospheric Program), this theory alleges that water condensation trails (“contrails”) from an aircraft consist of chemicals or biological agents, or contain a supposedly toxic mix of Aluminium, Strontium and Barium, under secret government policies. An estimated 17% of people globally believe the theory to be true or partly true. In 2016, the Carnegie institution for science published the first-ever peer-reviewed study of the chemtrail theory: 76 out of the 77 participating atmospheric chemists and geo-chemists stated that they had seen no evidence to support the chemtrail theory, or stated that chemtrail theorists rely on poor sampling.

MALAYSIA AIRLINES FLIGHT MH370
the disappearance of Malaysia Flight MH370 in South East Asia in march 2014 has prompted many theories. Once theory suggests that this plane was hidden away and reintroduced as Flight MH17 later the same year in order to be shot down over Ukraine for political purposes. Prolific American conspiracy theorist James H. Fetzer has placed responsibility for the disappearance with Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Theories have also related to allegations that a certain autopilot technology was secretly fitted to the aircraft.

MALAYSIA AIRLINES FLIGHT MH17
Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 was shot down over Ukraine in July 2014. This event has spawned numerous alternative theories. These variously include allegations that it was secretly Flight MH370, that the plane was actually shot down by the Ukrainian Air Force to frame Russia, that it was part of a conspiracy to conceal the “truth” about HIV (seven disease specialists were on board), or that the Illuminati or Israel was responsible.
  • Conspiracy Theory List.
I will definitely be delving into the realms of well known and popular Conspiracy Theories -especially like the ones above- at some point with Friday Fundays.

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